Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1279.648969 1461.159890 1665.247347 1912.872821 2206.731062 2546.204955 2970.783107
2025-07-06 967.524196 1190.584126 1465.661424 1834.210008 2321.764979 2954.263229 3852.914954
2025-07-13 855.507203 1106.380303 1435.635249 1908.222250 2584.033749 3539.483738 5037.350275
2025-07-20 761.990082 1024.093264 1385.268852 1933.034967 2767.935679 4036.831322 6203.539567
2025-07-27 691.003425 959.110496 1344.099484 1956.334663 2943.230068 4543.784153 7501.348966
2025-08-03 632.230827 902.219782 1304.018570 1970.246377 3099.457594 5042.988377 8910.890474
2025-08-10 595.531434 872.517707 1299.055613 2035.540568 3347.140174 5743.576096 10892.061978
2025-08-17 561.135864 841.682179 1287.179339 2085.326811 3573.344090 6449.769961 13104.518164
2025-08-24 527.361347 807.732549 1265.357858 2113.106921 3761.509865 7120.468659 15463.342753
2025-08-31 495.793119 773.881073 1239.273337 2128.338457 3926.228236 7777.552397 18025.827411
2025-09-07 472.189662 750.817859 1228.737478 2170.105942 4150.521283 8615.741962 21388.620454
2025-09-14 434.437558 700.050897 1163.822078 2097.928786 4121.170111 8861.062785 23189.996789
2025-09-21 400.563691 654.094130 1104.718403 2032.996419 4104.160906 9151.800495 25323.556221
2025-09-28 368.124311 608.262108 1041.917560 1953.493664 4042.892499 9323.111419 27185.197879
2025-10-05 358.683087 602.997278 1054.624813 2032.895685 4367.541536 10602.505685 33558.525988
2025-10-12 343.817019 586.403009 1043.706639 2059.747894 4569.863033 11603.799449 39540.405282
2025-10-19 330.023949 570.636915 1032.770128 2084.914654 4773.091401 12672.353426 46548.035151
2025-10-26 316.326277 553.931779 1018.282269 2099.947080 4952.989418 13728.532896 54321.695483
2025-11-02 308.935672 548.824082 1026.998401 2170.522623 5300.370789 15460.440614 66978.880391
2025-11-09 300.412673 540.769462 1028.687316 2224.361741 5612.759255 17194.028959 81483.600182
2025-11-16 290.408992 528.962104 1021.202090 2254.412852 5862.091797 18797.816358 97102.638963
2025-11-23 279.999720 515.559329 1009.010021 2270.892424 6074.267751 20348.424035 114409.360906
2025-11-30 272.425439 507.455296 1007.825678 2316.092568 6389.779414 22471.473142 139226.348616